Notre futur, tout sérieusement
10.04.2007
Un tout petit papier pour relancer la machine grippée des Xénos en ces temps sombres de solitude linéaire.
Le gouvernement briton a mandaté son Ministère de la Défense de lui pondre un rapport propre en ordre sur le « futur contexte stratégique » de la Grande-Bretagne.
Le vénérable Guardian nous en parle un peu :
Revolution, flashmobs, and brain chips. A grim vision of the future
Information chips implanted in the brain. Electromagnetic pulse weapons. The middle classes becoming revolutionary, taking on the role of Marx’s proletariat. The population of countries in the Middle East increasing by 132%, while Europe’s drops as fertility falls. “Flashmobs” - groups rapidly mobilised by criminal gangs or terrorists groups.
This is the world in 30 years’ time envisaged by a Ministry of Defence team responsible for painting a picture of the “future strategic context” likely to face Britain’s armed forces. It includes an “analysis of the key risks and shocks”. Rear Admiral Chris Parry, head of the MoD’s Development, Concepts & Doctrine Centre which drew up the report, describes the assessments as “probability-based, rather than predictive”.
Pour ceux qui espèrent encore en un futur meilleur ou qui s’intéressent plus humblement au type de wetware qui sera disponible dans les 20 prochaines années, l’Institute for the Future est un must. Tout sérieusement :
The Institute for the Future (IFTF) is an independent nonprofit research group. We work with organizations of all kinds to help them make better, more informed decisions about the future. We provide the foresight to create insights that lead to action.
We bring a combination of tools, methodologies, and a deep understanding of emerging trends and discontinuities to our work with companies, foundations, and government agencies. We take an explicitly global approach to strategic planning, linking macro trends to local issues in such areas as:
- Work and daily life
- Technology and society
- Health and health care
- Global business trends
- Changing consumer society
Pensez également à zieuter directement du côté de ce fascinant projet de l’IFTF qui nous dit exactement ce qui va se passer dans les 50 prochaines années :
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